Confirmed previous forecast
-0.000024
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 3 | 27 | 6 | 52 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will any TSMC fab in Taiwan be shut down for at least one day because of a non-scheduled emergency by 31 March 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
Rounding down to 0 with only one month left.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 26, 2024 04:48PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 26, 2024 to Jul 26, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 26, 2024 09:05PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 26, 2023 to Jun 26, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files