Forecasted Questions
[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 28, 2021 04:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jun 28, 2021 04:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15% | 35% | -20% | +0% |
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2021 12:04AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 14, 2021 12:04AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than -0.25 | 0% | 14% | -14% | -2% |
| Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 0% | 31% | -31% | -1% |
| More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 16% | 33% | -17% | +2% |
| More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 79% | 17% | +62% | +0% |
| More than 0.5 | 5% | 4% | +1% | +0% |