RAND Forecasting Initiative

Date Ended	Question	Relative Brier Score
Feb 2, 2024 10:00PM	When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report?	0.45837
Sep 1, 2023 04:00AM	How many teams from the United States will compete in the 2023 iGEM Grand Jamboree?	0.169333
May 10, 2023 04:00PM	What will Ginkgo Bioworks foundry revenue be in the first quarter of 2023?	-0.271065
Feb 28, 2023 05:00PM	On 28 February 2023, how many states will be following the California emissions standard banning the sale of new emissions-producing vehicles by 2035?	-0.142363
Jan 1, 2023 05:00AM	Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?	0.000824
Oct 31, 2022 01:49PM	How many U.S. teams will be named as a Winner or Runner Up at the 2022 iGEM Grand Jamboree in Paris?	0.006419