Forecasted Questions
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2025 04:34PM
(30 days ago)
Jun 30, 2025 04:34PM
(30 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 10% | Jun 30, 2025 to Dec 30, 2025 | Jul 30, 2025 04:34PM | 7% | +3% | +4% |
No | 90% | Jun 30, 2025 to Dec 30, 2025 | Jul 30, 2025 04:34PM | 93% | -3% | -4% |
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2025 04:34PM
(30 days ago)
Jun 30, 2025 04:34PM
(30 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 9% | Jun 30, 2025 to Dec 30, 2025 | Jul 30, 2025 04:34PM | 2% | +7% | -1% |
No | 91% | Jun 30, 2025 to Dec 30, 2025 | Jul 30, 2025 04:34PM | 98% | -7% | +1% |
Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2025 04:34PM
(30 days ago)
Jun 30, 2025 04:34PM
(30 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 10% | 3% | +7% | -1% |
No | 90% | 97% | -7% | +1% |
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2025 05:08PM
(30 days ago)
Jun 30, 2025 05:08PM
(30 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 21% | Jun 30, 2025 to Dec 30, 2026 | Sep 30, 2025 05:08PM | 6% | +15% | -1% |
No | 79% | Jun 30, 2025 to Dec 30, 2026 | Sep 30, 2025 05:08PM | 94% | -15% | +1% |
Will the European βCoalition of the Willingβ deploy forces to Ukraine in 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2025 05:09PM
(30 days ago)
Jun 30, 2025 05:09PM
(30 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 6% | 1% | +5% | +0% |
No | 94% | 99% | -5% | +0% |
Will the EU import at least 15 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in any quarter of 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2025 05:10PM
(30 days ago)
Jun 30, 2025 05:10PM
(30 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 4% | 1% | +3% | -2% |
No | 96% | 99% | -3% | +2% |