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Active Forecaster
Why do you think you're right?
Despite recent developments in, for example, Bakhmut, I think things will continue to be largely in stalemate
Why might you be wrong?
If unexpected top-level government changes occur in the next half year or so, instability on either side could tip the scales and lead the conflict out of a stalemate
Active Forecaster
Why do you think you're right?
I don't see Biden, in this geopolitical climate, making big strides in the way of renewables, despite the fact that they would probably provide more stability (albeit while also being less of a provider on an absolute GW basis).
Why might you be wrong?
Biden might turn to renewables more, or at least focus on their production more, or there may be more local development towards clean energy solutions in major metropolitan areas.
Why do you think you're right?
There is enough of the populace that still believes in the cause of the war that even if Putin's approval rating drops in actuality, it may not below half of all people polled. In addition, figures may not reflect the actual, on the ground data given censorship in the country
Why might you be wrong?
Why do you think you're right?
As the war drags on, Russia may look to cut its losses, and call it quits after the declarations of Donetsk and Luhansk.
Why might you be wrong?
Zelensky's recent visit to the US as well as new developments in the war may push Putin to more drastic measures, or at least a show of them.
Why do you think you're right?
The only way that would happen is if the artist didn't reveal that they had used AI-generated vocals, and everyone believed they had come from a real person.
Why might you be wrong?
Perhaps AI-generated vocals will be more widely accepted in a year's time