There's a good chance that a North American Open Testing and Integration Center (OTIC) will issue an O-RAN Certificate between April 1, 2024 and March 31, 2025.
0.378688
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
2023 Q2
10%
2023 Q3
10%
2023 Q4
10%
2024 Q1
11%
2024 Q2
First-half revenue is likely to fall around 10% in U.S. dollar terms year-on-year,
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
39%
Yes
61%
No
In June last year, there was news that Microsoft would close the Asia Research Institute. According to reports, Beijing-based Microsoft Research Asia has begun seeking visas to move top AI experts from Beijing to its research institute in Vancouver. At the time, the company did not make a statement about the rumours. However, the company has now come out to say that this is not true.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
(0%)
Yes
40%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
Based on the current situation, I find it unlikely that Myanmar will hold truly free and fair national elections before July 1st, 2025. However, the junta might hold a controlled election earlier, depending on domestic and international pressures. They are more likely to prioritize consolidating their power and controlling the process than adhering to democratic principles.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
Yes
the likelihood of a fab shutdown will depend on the specific circumstances that arise. However, TSMC is a critical supplier of semiconductors to the global electronics industry, and any shutdown of its fabs would have a significant impact on the world economy.
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Here's an informed analysis on a potential collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance by October 1st, 2025:
Factors Suggesting Collaboration (Maybe):
Shifting Landscape: The telecommunications industry is increasingly embracing Open RAN for its flexibility and vendor neutrality. Huawei, a major player, might eventually need to adapt.
Chinese Influence: Some members of the O-RAN Alliance are Chinese companies, including China Mobile, a major Huawei client. This could open doors for future collaboration.
Against Collaboration (Probably):
Past Skepticism: Huawei has previously expressed doubts about Open RAN, potentially preferring its own proprietary solutions.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing tensions between the US and China could create hurdles for a formal collaboration.
No Recent Signs: As of May 1, 2024, there haven't been any concrete indications of Huawei joining the O-RAN Alliance.
Overall, a collaboration by October 2025 seems unlikely, but not entirely impossible.