BobLasCruces

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Relative Brier Score
195000
Questions Forecasted

0

Forecasts

0

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No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 0 0 41
Comments 0 0 0 0 22
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 16
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 Definitions
New Prediction
BobLasCruces
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 7, 2023 11:59PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
60%
Yes
Nov 7, 2023 to May 7, 2024
40%
No
Nov 7, 2023 to May 7, 2024
Why do you think you're right?

I believe the Saudi would like to normalize but the Israeli/Hamas war probably prevents this.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Moves by Turkey and Iran could push Saudis in the direction of alignment with Israe.  They would. It wish to play second fiddle to Iran in being the major 8nfluencer in the Middle East.

Files
New Prediction
BobLasCruces
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
40% (0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Badge
BobLasCruces
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Israeli/Hamas war will likely impede any movement towards reconciliation.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Pigs might fly

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