Forecasted Questions
[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 19, 2021 11:41PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 19, 2021 11:41PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 98% | 35% | +63% | -8% |
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2021 05:20PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 28, 2021 05:20PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than -0.25 | 0% | 14% | -14% | -1% |
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 35% | 31% | +4% | +0% |
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 65% | 33% | +32% | +2% |
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 0% | 17% | -17% | +0% |
More than 0.5 | 0% | 4% | -4% | +0% |