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Forecasted Questions

What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2021 06:56PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than -0.25 20% 14%
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive 35% 31%
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 25% 33%
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 15% 17%
More than 0.5 5% 4%

What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2021 06:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 14% 0% 3%
Between 14% and 16%, inclusive 61% 12%
More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% 22% 31%
More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% 14% 40%
More than 20% 3% 14%

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2021 06:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% 2% 7%
Between 2% and 4%, inclusive 8% 23%
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% 11% 33%
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% 26% 21%
More than 8% 53% 16%

How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2022 12:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2021 07:07PM UTC
(2 years ago)
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