Started Feb 02, 2021 02:00PM UTC   •   Closed Feb 16, 2021 04:59AM UTC

What will be the opening price of GameStop stock on Tuesday, February 16?

Context. The stock price of GameStop has increased 1700 percent over the past month after users on a Reddit subforum, Wall Street Bets, decided to invest in the stock. After the Reddit users noticed that institutional investors had aggressively shorted the stock -- indeed, shorting more than 100 percent of available shares -- they concluded that the stock price would have to increase when the institutional investors bought back their shares. By driving the price up before the institutional investors bought back their shares, the Reddit users effectively forced the institutional investors to sell at a higher price, further increasing the stock's value. The dynamics at play are unprecedented and have resulted in a stock price entirely unmoored from the value of the underlying company. 

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on the opening GameStop stock value on Tuesday, February 16, as reported by Yahoo! Finance.

The data underlying the graph is here.

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Resolution Notes

The answer is $52.66

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $20 7%
Between $20 and $100, inclusive 87%
More than $100 but less than or equal to $300 5%
More than $300 but less than or equal to $500 1%
More than $500 but less than or equal to $1000 0%
More than $1000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 67
Average for questions older than 6 months: 56
Number of Forecasts 125
Average for questions older than 6 months: 165
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.063
2.
-0.062
3.
-0.05
4.
-0.033
5.
-0.028

Consensus Trend

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