Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?

Started Jun 06, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC

The advent of ChatGPT and other generative artificial intelligence (AI) tools has raised concerns about how AI can be used to generate and spread disinformation at a much larger scale (Poynter, CSET, PBS). As a result, organizations have been working to develop tools that can identify text as written by artificial intelligence (Platformer, Tech Monitor, OpenAI, NPR).  


Resolution Criteria:
The question will resolve as “Yes” if Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by artificial intelligence.

  • Labels must be issued by the platform. User-generated labels (e.g., Twitter’s Community Notes) will not be sufficient on their own.
  • Labels can be viewable on a feed or when a user interacts with a post (e.g., by sharing or forwarding it).
  • A labeling policy which is only applied to select users or certain regions will still count. 
  • Research into labeling AI-generated text will not be sufficient unless it is accompanied by an announced policy or platform update in which AI-generated text is labeled for users or a subset of users. 
  • Labeling must apply to text written by generative AI. Labeling of images or videos generated by AI will not count towards resolution.

Additional Reading:


Question clarification
Issued on 01/12/24 03:51pm
By labelling posts as "potentially written by AI", we mean that the relevant social media company detects or suspects text to have been written by AI, not that they are disclosing their own use of AI to generate text.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 10%
No 90%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 272
Average for questions older than 6 months: 59
Number of Forecasts 1357
Average for questions older than 6 months: 213
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

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2.
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3.
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4.
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5.
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