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Science & Technology

Closing

Jan 01, 2025 09:00PM UTC (9 months)

Forecasting new scientific and technological advancements and their impact on society and governance.

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Crowd Forecast

Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?

Closing Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 16 · 23

51%

Chance

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Closing Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 19 · 26

14%

Chance

Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 72 · 141

78%

Chance

By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 139 · 300

8%

Chance

Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?

Closing Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 91 · 574

2%

Chance

Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?

Closing Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 265 · 1168

14%

Chance

Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?

Closing Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 179 · 871

5%

Chance