How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Started Sep 02, 2020 12:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC

For more on this metric, see the accompanying Foretell metric analysis: "Are Established Tech Companies Crowding Out Startups?"

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on Crunchbase data. Crunchbase classifies every company under multiple “category groups.” For this question, companies are classified as “tech” if software, hardware, internet services, or information technology are among their category groups. These categories are overlapping. A company is "private" if it's not publicly traded. This question resolves on January 30, 2021, 30 days after the forecast period ends. The question -- and the graph below -- therefore includes only transactions entered into Crunchbase within 30 days of the date of its announcement. Historically, 80% of new funding is entered into Crunchbase within 30 days. 

For the third quarter of 2020 -- not reflected in the graph below -- private U.S. tech companies raised $6.8 billion in July, $9.3 billion in August, and $14.1 billion in September, for a total of $30.2 billion. The chart below does not include an anomalous $100 billion raised by Broadcom Limited in February 2018. 

The data underlying the graph is here.

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Resolution Notes

The answer is $55.1 billion.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $40 billion 5%
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive 21%
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion 37%
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion 25%
More than $100 billion 12%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 58
Number of Forecasts 75
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Consensus Trend

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