p01yh15t0r
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 27, 2023 07:27PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10% (+5%)
Yes
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024

Given that my previous forecasts were premised on a 'less for less' deal between Iran & the US — which likely lies in tatters now based on the repeated proxy attacks against American forces after 10/7 — I'm hiking according to the hypothesis that Israel may now have more degrees of freedom for clandestine activity

And while JPost holds that the recently unveiled Fattah-2 hypersonic missile is just another case of escalatory Iranian bluster, one could also interpret it as a signal of future engineering intent and a possible target

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