geoffodlum
made their 9th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Apr 14, 2024 06:10PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (-5%)
Yes
Mar 14, 2024 to Sep 14, 2024

I can't imagine the US launching such an attack especially during an election year, and given the intense international pressure that Netanyahu is under to accept a ceasefire in Gaza or at least put more restraints on IDF tactics, I can't imagine Netanyahu taking the risk of attacking an Iranian nuclear or missile facility.

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