HenriqueFontes

Given the already significant altercations between Hezbollah and Israel, with an ongoing de facto conflict between the two, especially in the past couple of weeks, a formal declaration of war is indeed very likely, as both have increased confrotations and shown signs of escalation.

There is no opposition movement strong enough to remove Maduro from office, be it through elections or other means. His grasp on national politics and holding office are strong elements to back his reelection. On the other hand, a divided opposition, with 12 candidates, stand little chance at actually winning the pools. Unless Maduro dies or suffers a coup, he will very likely hold office in January 2025

Given the current success of the russian troops on Ukrainian soil, with most defenses faltering and the last remaining large defense line failing, it is almost certain Kharkiv will be attacked and fall this year. Odessa is still a certain target and will likely be attacked this year, but it is likely there are other priorities for the russian, namely these two, than Kyiv.

Given existent precedent episodes and high tensions in the region, with Israel aiming to jeopardize perceived enemies, it is likely such an attack will take place.