Forecasted Questions
Will Australia issue a Level 3 or Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan before 1 July 2024?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(15 days from now)
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(15 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 31, 2023 11:34PM UTC
(10 months ago)
Aug 31, 2023 11:34PM UTC
(10 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | 0% | +8% | -2% |
| No | 92% | 100% | -8% | +2% |
Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(15 days from now)
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(15 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 31, 2023 11:34PM UTC
(10 months ago)
Aug 31, 2023 11:34PM UTC
(10 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 1% | +9% | -2% |
| No | 90% | 99% | -9% | +2% |
Will Iran be impacted by a cyberattack targeting critical infrastructure between 27 February 2024 and 1 March 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Mar 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 28, 2024 07:14PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Mar 28, 2024 07:14PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80% | 80% | +0% | +3% |
| No | 20% | 20% | +0% | -3% |
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 03:04AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 30, 2024 03:04AM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharkiv | 70% | 26% | +44% | +3% |
| Kyiv | 10% | 2% | +8% | +1% |
| Odesa | 40% | 2% | +38% | -1% |
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 29, 2024 01:18AM UTC
(18 days ago)
May 29, 2024 01:18AM UTC
(18 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 96% | +4% | +1% |
| No | 0% | 4% | -4% | -1% |