Nothing to suggest a change will happen in the next couple of days
-0.000099
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 37 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
100%
(+1%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
so far so good after the election; within the next 5 months, Taiwan is very likely to maintain the status quo instead of searching for independence. hopefully nothing unexpected would happen
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
Incumbent Vacant since 31 October 2022
Files
Cromwellian 1%