Incumbent Vacant since 31 October 2022
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
1
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 34 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-4%)
Yes
I see no indication of this occurring in the following one month
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
(0%)
Yes
15%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-10%)
Yes
updated
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
(0%)
Yes
15%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
so far so good after the election; within the next 5 months, Taiwan is very likely to maintain the status quo instead of searching for independence. hopefully nothing unexpected would happen