Forecasted Questions
What percentage of contributions to Github's “very high impact” AI projects will be from the EU in 2022?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2022 09:11PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 30, 2022 09:11PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 10 | Answer was correct | |||
| More than or equal to 10 but less than 15 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 15 but less than 20 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 20 | Answer was incorrect | |||
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft?
As of Nov 2, 2022 08:46PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 02, 2022 08:46PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 02, 2022 08:46PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023?
You quit this question on Jan 26, 2023 02:15PM and have no active forecasts.
You won't receive scores for days you quit.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 12, 2022 06:09PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 12, 2022 06:09PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 06, 2022 04:14PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 06, 2022 04:14PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Before 1 April 2023, will the government of the Republic of Srpska declare secession from Bosnia-Herzegovina (BiH), establish a timeline for secession, or schedule a referendum on secession?
You quit this question on Jan 26, 2023 02:14PM and have no active forecasts.
You won't receive scores for days you quit.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 06, 2022 04:15PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 06, 2022 04:15PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2023 08:09PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 31, 2023 08:09PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | Answer was correct | |||
| The Netherlands | Answer was correct | |||
| South Korea | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Any other country not listed | Answer was incorrect | |||