14th
Accuracy Rank

PeterStamp

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  • 2023 Season
    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Apr 5, 2023 07:15PM Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023? -0.100425
    Apr 5, 2023 07:14PM Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2022 and Feb 1, 2023) -0.000442
    Apr 1, 2023 04:01AM Before 1 April 2023, will the government of the Republic of Srpska declare secession from Bosnia-Herzegovina (BiH), establish a timeline for secession, or schedule a referendum on secession? -0.000007
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023? -0.000076
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will SpaceX launch Starship into orbit before 1 April 2023? 0.005061
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China? -0.036934
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 3, 2023 and Mar 1, 2023) 0.0
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023? -0.000385
    Mar 15, 2023 01:24PM What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Apr 2023 -0.00744
    Mar 1, 2023 05:00AM Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023? -0.001493
    Feb 15, 2023 01:01PM What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Mar 2023 -0.010955
    Feb 3, 2023 05:00AM Will China launch more orbital rockets than the U.S. in January 2023? 0.003878
    Feb 1, 2023 06:46PM Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023? -0.000002
    Jan 15, 2023 02:00PM What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Feb 2023 -0.002667
    Jan 3, 2023 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 3, 2022 and Jan 3, 2023) 0.0
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