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Forecasted Questions

Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?

As of Feb 1, 2022 09:43AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 09:43AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?

As of Apr 1, 2022 09:44AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 09:44AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 06, 2022 10:53PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before January 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 Answer was correct
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Not before October 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect

Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2022 09:23AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct
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