Forecasted Questions
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?
As of Feb 1, 2022 09:43AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 09:43AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 09:43AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?
As of Apr 1, 2022 09:44AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 09:44AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 09:44AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 06, 2022 10:53PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 06, 2022 10:53PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Before January 1, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 | Answer was correct | |||
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Not before October 1, 2022 | Answer was incorrect |
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2022 09:23AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 24, 2022 09:23AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |