Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 30, 2021 09:34AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 30, 2021 09:34AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 2% | 20% | 7% | +13% | +0% |
Between 2% and 4%, inclusive | 29% | 23% | +6% | +0% |
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% | 23% | 33% | -10% | +0% |
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% | 17% | 21% | -4% | +0% |
More than 8% | 11% | 16% | -5% | +0% |
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 30, 2021 09:34AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 30, 2021 09:34AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 14% | 6% | 3% | +3% | -3% |
Between 14% and 16%, inclusive | 21% | 12% | +9% | -7% |
More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% | 41% | 31% | +10% | -2% |
More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% | 25% | 40% | -15% | +10% |
More than 20% | 7% | 14% | -7% | +2% |
How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 19, 2021 02:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 19, 2021 02:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 19, 2021 02:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 19, 2021 02:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 30, 2021 01:28PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 30, 2021 01:28PM UTC
(2 years ago)