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Forecasted Questions

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 30, 2021 09:34AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% 20% 7%
Between 2% and 4%, inclusive 29% 23%
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% 23% 33%
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% 17% 21%
More than 8% 11% 16%

What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 30, 2021 09:34AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 14% 6% 3%
Between 14% and 16%, inclusive 21% 12%
More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% 41% 31%
More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% 25% 40%
More than 20% 7% 14%

How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 19, 2021 02:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 19, 2021 02:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 30, 2021 01:28PM UTC
(2 years ago)
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