Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 2, 2024 05:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 2, 2023 to Jun 2, 2024
Files
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 18, 2023 06:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
35%
Yes
Nov 18, 2023 to May 18, 2024
65%
No
Nov 18, 2023 to May 18, 2024
Because of the ongoing Israel-Hamas war and the conflict spreading to Lebanon and potentially other parts of the Middle East, it will be difficult for Saudi Arabia to normalize positions with Israel
Files
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 21, 2023 05:10PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
90%
Yes
Oct 21, 2023 to Nov 21, 2023
The global controversy and hatred around not the attack itself but the rotten core issue will remain for quite a long time
Files
![](https://www.infer-pub.com/rails/active_storage/representations/redirect/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaHBBNENiQVE9PSIsImV4cCI6IjIwMjQtMDYtMjJUMjM6Mjk6NDUuMDQ3WiIsInB1ciI6ImJsb2JfaWQifX0=--250bc1d45c820b9f3c69fab42bbb7e8179f60db0/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaDdCem9MWm05eWJXRjBTU0lJY0c1bkJqb0dSVlE2RW5KbGMybDZaVjkwYjE5bWFYUmJCMmx2YVc4PSIsImV4cCI6bnVsbCwicHVyIjoidmFyaWF0aW9uIn19--ece71356bf9cbbc14072e1c306fb6b0cb8ccd483/questions-forecasted-01.png)
New Badge
Why do you think you're right?
Focused more on Hamas right now
Why might you be wrong?
Hezbollah is unpredictable