DJanus

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Forecasted Questions

Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 07, 2021 08:26AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 02, 2021 07:26AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 26,000 Answer was correct
Between 26,000 and 28,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 28,000 but less than or equal to 30,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 30,000 but less than or equal to 32,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 32,000 Answer was incorrect

When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 02, 2021 07:26AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before February 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
Between February 17 and May 19, 2021, inclusive Answer was incorrect
After May 19, but before or equal to November 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
After November 17, 2021 Answer was correct

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 02, 2021 08:04AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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