Forecasted Questions
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 20, 2021 08:46PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 20, 2021 08:46PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than -0.25 | 55% | 14% | +41% | -2% |
| Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 20% | 31% | -11% | +0% |
| More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 10% | 33% | -23% | +2% |
| More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 10% | 17% | -7% | +0% |
| More than 0.5 | 5% | 4% | +1% | +0% |
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 20, 2021 08:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 20, 2021 08:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 2% | 3% | 7% | -4% | -1% |
| Between 2% and 4%, inclusive | 5% | 23% | -18% | -1% |
| More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% | 9% | 33% | -24% | -1% |
| More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% | 30% | 21% | +9% | +0% |
| More than 8% | 53% | 16% | +37% | +3% |