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Roger Morris
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Forecasted Questions

What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2021 09:42PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.25 Answer was incorrect
Between 0.25 and 0.3, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 0.3 but less than or equal to 0.35 Answer was incorrect
More than 0.35 but less than or equal to 0.4 Answer was correct
More than 0.4 Answer was incorrect

What will be the opening price of GameStop stock on Tuesday, February 16?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 16, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 08, 2021 01:28AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $20 Answer was incorrect
Between $20 and $100, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $100 but less than or equal to $300 Answer was incorrect
More than $300 but less than or equal to $500 Answer was incorrect
More than $500 but less than or equal to $1000 Answer was incorrect
More than $1000 Answer was incorrect

Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 25, 2021 01:10PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 07, 2021 12:27PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $40 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $100 billion Answer was correct

How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 07, 2021 12:27PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 800 Answer was incorrect
Between 800 and 4,000 Answer was correct
More than 4,000 but less than or equal to 20,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 20,000 but less than or equal to 100,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 100,000 Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 07, 2021 12:27PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 28, 2021 03:12PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was incorrect
More than 80% Answer was correct
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