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Dan
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Just watchin' the clouds float by.

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Forecasted Questions
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Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 27, 2022 07:31PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

When will the end of day closing value for the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar drop below 75 Rubles to 1 USD?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 26, 2022 05:32PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before 1 April 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 April 2022, inclusive Answer was correct
Between 1 May 2022 and 31 May 2022, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Not before 1 June 2022 Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?

As of Sep 17, 2022 03:23PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 17, 2022 03:23PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 12, 2022 01:35PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 12, 2022 01:37PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month?

As of Nov 12, 2022 01:37PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 12, 2022 01:37PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 12, 2022 01:37PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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