Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Definitions |
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
85%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(-10%)
Yes
Adjusting downwards for the passage of time
Files