Forecasted Questions
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 18, 2021 06:12PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 18, 2021 06:12PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month?
As of Jan 7, 2022 08:04PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 31, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 31, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 07, 2021 08:04PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 07, 2021 08:04PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?
As of Apr 30, 2022 10:09PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 10:09PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 31, 2022 10:09PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?
As of Jun 30, 2022 10:09PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 10:09PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 31, 2022 10:09PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||||
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft?
As of Apr 30, 2022 10:10PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 10:10PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 31, 2022 10:10PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 10:11PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 31, 2022 10:11PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 5 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 6 and 7, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 8 | Answer was correct | |||