Confirmed previous forecast
1.018035
Relative Brier Score
9
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 57 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 21 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
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Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Files
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
Yes
93%
No
Considering news about the topic, the chance is low.
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
90%
No
Currently, it is a big challengue to identify if one text was generated by AI.
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
There is no resource to have 1000 qubits.
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