Confirmed previous forecast
0.159687
Relative Brier Score
7
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 79 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Less than $90
31%
(0%)
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
21%
(0%)
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
15%
(0%)
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
3%
(0%)
More than or equal to $120
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Less than $90
31%
(0%)
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
21%
(0%)
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
15%
(0%)
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
3%
(0%)
More than or equal to $120
Why do you think you're right?
the record of the price for the last 6 months
Files
Why might you be wrong?
there may be a shortage of resources
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Less than $90
31%
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
21%
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
15%
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
3%
More than or equal to $120
I think the price will be around $100 to stay stable.
Files