Forecasted Questions
Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 24, 2022 02:50PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 24, 2022 02:50PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?
As of Jun 27, 2022 02:12PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 27, 2022 02:12PM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 27, 2022 02:12PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 27, 2022 02:13PM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 27, 2022 02:13PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month?
As of Jun 27, 2022 02:14PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 27, 2022 02:14PM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 27, 2022 02:14PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 27, 2022 02:15PM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 27, 2022 02:15PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 200 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 200 but less than 400 | Answer was correct | |||
| More than or equal to 400 but less than 600 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 600 but less than 800 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 800 but less than 1000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 1000 | Answer was incorrect | |||