The regime does not allow this to happen, so it won't happen.
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New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 27, 2022 02:14PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
May 27, 2022 to Jun 27, 2022
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-1%)
Yes
I don't see a path to this under the Russian regime.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 27, 2022 02:12PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
70%
(+30%)
Yes
May 27, 2022 to Nov 27, 2022
I think China will use the West's exhaustion with the Russian war against Ukraine as an opportunity. And, it will call in favors from Russia for supporting it during the current war.
Files
The window for protests has come and gone.
It appears April hit 200:
https://www.infer-pub.com/comments/40039