Tether has not traded below $0.95 in the past 6 months and has remained stable around $0.99 for the past month. I do not anticipate any events to destabilize Tether between now and 1 July 2022.
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I may be wrong if Tether suddenly drops tomorrow, which would correlated in trends in certain other cryptocurrencies.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 5
90%
(0%)
Between 6 and 7, inclusive
7%
(0%)
More than or equal to 8
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than or equal to 200 million
1%
More than 200 million but less than 250 million
4%
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive
95%
More than 300 million
As of 31 May 2022, the total funding amount reported by crunchbase is $638.5M. There is a small chance I am looking in the wrong place.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 5
90%
(0%)
Between 6 and 7, inclusive
7%
(0%)
More than or equal to 8
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
More than 100 tech startup layoff events have already been recorded
Why might you be wrong?