It's already over 100 haha
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0
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Forecasting Activity
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than or equal to 74
0%
Between 75 and 99, inclusive
100%
More than or equal to 100
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
Yes, and the bill will be favorably reported to the full committee
8%
Yes, but the bill will not be favorably reported to the full committee
57%
No, a vote will not occur
I'm bumping my "Yes, favorably" outcome a bit higher than the average because there is pressure on the Biden administration to accomplish things right now. But otherwise I agree with the consensus that it's unlikely for a vote to occur.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Less than 50%
8%
(-7%)
More than or equal to 50% but less than 60%
18%
(-37%)
More than or equal to 60% but less than 70%
37%
(+10%)
More than or equal to 70% but less than 80%
37%
(+35%)
More than or equal to 80%
It's only trending in the wrong direction, and I think the odds are pretty slim that it gets better over the next month.
Files
Seems very unlikely with 4 days left, and I think it would only be voted on if they knew it would pass.