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70%
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11%
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Confirmed previous forecast
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I think the most likely of the three options is that the Republic of Srpska will declare a referendum. I do not think it likely that they will actually commit to secession. However, it seems unlikely that even a referendum would happen before the next anniversary, so I will update this forecast when we get closer to January.
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0%
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Confirmed previous forecast
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No recent news on this
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Wouldn't do all that much, new sanctions on food were released a few days ago, unlikely that new sanctions will come out this fast.
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They are already on sustainable fuel, trying to find out how long this took - Virent made it, Virent is quite old and big https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/united-flies-first-ever-passenger-flight-with-100-sustainable-fuel-1031019270
Because United is already “the most sustainable” there’s not much rush
Cemvita is very new