max0404

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Forecasts 0 0 0 0 23
Comments 0 0 0 0 2
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 13
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 3
 Definitions
New Prediction
max0404
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
1% (-1%)
Less than or equal to 200 million
1% (-4%)
More than 200 million but less than 250 million
1% (-6%)
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive
97% (+11%)
More than 300 million

just try to fix it with 97%, not fully 100%

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New Prediction
max0404
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
2% (-4%)
Yes

Just fix it.

Files
New Prediction
max0404
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
2% (-3%)
Less than or equal to 200 million
5% (-3%)
More than 200 million but less than 250 million
7% (-15%)
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive
86% (+21%)
More than 300 million
I just change it to 86%, but I won't change it to 100% because everything is possible, who knows whether there is a reduction in the upcoming few hours.
Files
New Prediction
max0404
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
5% (+2%)
Less than or equal to 200 million
8% (-67%)
More than 200 million but less than 250 million
22% (+5%)
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive
65% (+60%)
More than 300 million
Right now it is over 500 million, but who knows if anything will happen in the upcoming days?
Files
New Prediction
max0404
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
4%
Less than 5
13%
Between 5 and 9, inclusive
10%
Between 10 and 14, inclusive
25%
Between 15 and 19, inclusive
48%
More than or equal to 20

Based on recent news.


I will not change my answer to any kind of suggestion.

Files
New Prediction
max0404
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
4%
Less than $17 billion
7%
More than or equal to $17 billion but less than $18 billion
20%
More than or equal to $18 billion but less than $19 billion
69%
More than or equal to $19 billion

The last quarter is $20.5 billion, this quarter should be higher.

I will not change my answer to any kind of suggestion.

Files
New Prediction

Based on recent news about Mobileye

I will not change my answer to any kind of suggestion.

Files
New Prediction
max0404
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Less than or equal to 200 million
75% (+15%)
More than 200 million but less than 250 million
17% (-15%)
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive
5% (0%)
More than 300 million

Based on my data findings from Google.

I will not change my answer in any kind of solution.

Files
New Badge
max0404
earned a new badge:

Questions Forecasted

For forecasting on 10 questions!
New Prediction
max0404
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jul 27, 2022 07:47PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Jun 27, 2022 to Dec 27, 2022

It is tough for this collaboration in the following year based on my news source. 

I will not correct my answer in any kind of solution.

Files
Files
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