I’ve learned more about what’s happening with russia, putin seems to have a longer term plan going, he’s not going to relinquish his power that easily, and countries internationally don’t seem to be eager to intervene
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-10%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
generally uneducated about the specificities of the topic
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
he has been president for so long and i know there’s a conflict in ukraine but i don’t see things changing/countries intervening enough to change anything concrete
Files
Why might you be wrong?
maybe things will ramp up and cause international intervention to be necessary (which is what i think it would take to get rid of him)
Files
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
39%
Less than or equal to 200 million
48%
More than 200 million but less than 250 million
13%
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive
0%
More than 300 million
saw that silicon valley startups made 100mil, i don’t see a reason why they should have more than doubled in profit
Files
intel released one recently they have the highest chance of doing another