Forecasted Questions
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(10 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(10 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 29, 2023 01:03PM UTC
(11 months ago)
Jun 29, 2023 01:03PM UTC
(11 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 749 | 2% | 0% | +2% | -1% |
| Between 750 and 1499, inclusive | 59% | 0% | +59% | -18% |
| Between 1500 and 2249, inclusive | 29% | 4% | +25% | -47% |
| Between 2250 and 2999, inclusive | 10% | 95% | -85% | +68% |
| More than or equal to 3000 | 0% | 0% | +0% | -2% |
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(10 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(10 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 29, 2023 01:03PM UTC
(11 months ago)
Jun 29, 2023 01:03PM UTC
(11 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 49 | 38% | 96% | -58% | +55% |
| Between 50 and 99, inclusive | 48% | 4% | +45% | -37% |
| Between 100 and 149, inclusive | 11% | 0% | +11% | -13% |
| Between 150 and 199, inclusive | 2% | 0% | +2% | -3% |
| More than or equal to 200 | 1% | 0% | +1% | -2% |
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(10 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(10 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 29, 2023 01:03PM UTC
(11 months ago)
Jun 29, 2023 01:03PM UTC
(11 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 499 | 22% | 99% | -77% | +59% |
| Between 500 and 999, inclusive | 39% | 1% | +38% | -55% |
| Between 1000 and 1499, inclusive | 22% | 0% | +22% | -4% |
| Between 1500 and 1999, inclusive | 14% | 0% | +14% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 2000 | 3% | 0% | +3% | +0% |