From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?

Started May 25, 2023 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC

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Seasons

2023 Season 2024 Season

This question will resolve using data from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data project (ACLED). A spreadsheet containing select columns from events is available here. This spreadsheet will be updated monthly as new data becomes available. At the time of question launch, ACLED has recorded the following fatality counts due to gang violence in previous years:

2018: 668
2019: 535
2020: 222
2021: 256
2022: 217
2023 (as of 18 May 2023): 18

Possible Answer	Crowd Forecast	Change in last 24 hours	Change in last week	Change in last month
Less than or equal to 49	88.36%	+1.05%	+2.59%	+17.74%
Between 50 and 99, inclusive	10.76%	-1.05%	-2.38%	-14.47%
Between 100 and 149, inclusive	0.51%	0%	-0.21%	-1.59%
Between 150 and 199, inclusive	0.28%	0%	0%	-1.36%
More than or equal to 200	0.09%	0%	0%	-0.32%