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World Events
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 year)
From Russia to the South China Sea and around the globe, these questions forecast conflict, diplomatic agreements, and how these events will shape our world.
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Iran Nuclear Program (10)
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Mission: Diplomacy (9)
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Crowd Forecast
Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
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14
·
15
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
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12
·
13
2%
Chance
Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
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48
·
70
10%
Chance
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
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56
·
95
5%
Chance
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Closing
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
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41
·
81
By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
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53
·
110
6%
Chance
Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
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33
·
59
3%
Chance
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
46
·
106
Will Australia issue a Level 3 or Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan before 1 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
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64
·
181
2%
Chance
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
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45
·
157
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