Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 31, 2021 09:29PM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 31, 2021 09:29PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 14% | 3% | 3% | +0% | +0% |
| Between 14% and 16%, inclusive | 9% | 12% | -3% | +1% |
| More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% | 19% | 31% | -12% | +1% |
| More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% | 30% | 40% | -10% | -1% |
| More than 20% | 39% | 14% | +25% | -2% |
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2021 05:01PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jun 30, 2021 05:01PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 2% | 4% | 7% | -3% | +0% |
| Between 2% and 4%, inclusive | 16% | 23% | -7% | +1% |
| More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% | 25% | 33% | -8% | +1% |
| More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% | 25% | 21% | +4% | -2% |
| More than 8% | 30% | 16% | +14% | +0% |
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 26, 2021 10:57AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 26, 2021 10:57AM UTC
(2 years ago)