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How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 04, 2020 06:56PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was incorrect
Between $200 million and $300 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $300 million but less than or equal to $400 million Answer was incorrect
More than $400 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was correct
More than $500 million Answer was incorrect

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 07, 2020 06:13PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $190 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $190 billion and $230 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $230 billion but less than or equal to $270 billion Answer was correct
More than $270 billion but less than or equal to $310 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $310 billion Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 11, 2020 12:33AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 1.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% Answer was correct
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% Answer was incorrect

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 01, 2020 08:12PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $12 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $12 billion and $16 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $16 billion but less than or equal to $20 billion Answer was correct
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $24 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $24 billion Answer was incorrect

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 07, 2020 03:57PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 30,000 and 38,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 38,000 but less than or equal to 46,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 46,000 but less than or equal to 54,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 54,000 Answer was correct

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 16, 2020 06:27PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $30 million Answer was incorrect
Between $30 million and $70 million, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $70 million but less than or equal to $110 million Answer was incorrect
More than $110 million but less than or equal to $150 million Answer was incorrect
More than $150 million Answer was incorrect

What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Feb 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 12, 2020 08:17PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.07 Answer was incorrect
Between 0.07 and 0.08 Answer was incorrect
More than 0.08 but less than or equal to 0.09 Answer was incorrect
More than 0.09 but less than or equal to 0.1 Answer was incorrect
More than 0.1 Answer was correct

How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 27, 2020 09:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $40 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $100 billion Answer was incorrect

How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 22, 2020 01:02AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Zero Answer was correct
One Answer was incorrect
Two or more Answer was incorrect

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 30, 2021 04:42PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $13 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $13 billion and $17 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $17 billion but less than or equal to $21 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $21 billion but less than or equal to $25 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $25 billion Answer was correct
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