Forecasted Questions
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 04, 2020 06:55PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 04, 2020 06:55PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 04, 2020 06:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 04, 2020 06:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $200 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $200 million and $300 million, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $300 million but less than or equal to $400 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $400 million but less than or equal to $500 million | Answer was correct | |||
| More than $500 million | Answer was incorrect | |||