What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023?

Started Mar 04, 2022 07:30PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

Topics

World Events

Seasons

2022 Season 2023 Season

The imposition of substantial economic sanctions (White & Case) and the halting of Nord Stream 2’s certification (New York Times) following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have put significant strain on the relationship between the EU and Russia, its largest supplier of natural gas.

The question will be resolved using the last “Dutch TTF Gas Futures Price” on the Intercontinental Exchange. For each futures contract, the question will be resolved based on the data available on the 15th of the month prior at 13:01 GMT. For example, the forecast for April 2022 will be resolved based on the APR22 contract price at 3/15/2022 at 13:01 GMT. The forecast for May 2022 will be resolved based on the MAY22 contract price at 4/15/2022 at 13:01 GMT.

Question clarification

Issued on 01/24/23 03:49pm
The last day of forecasting for this question will be 28 February 2023, and the last time period (i.e., the price of APR23 futures) will resolve on 15 March 2023.

This question has ended, but is awaiting resolution by an admin.

Final Crowd Forecast

Time Period	90% chance to be above	Crowd Forecast	90% chance to be below
Apr 2022	85.74	136.52	214.66
May 2022	77.29	105.06	164.46
Jun 2022	74.48	99.77	147.72
Jul 2022	70.52	88.7	111.49
Aug 2022	106.73	155.92	191.67
Sep 2022	139.97	200.15	250.18
Oct 2022	166.24	212.7	265.63
Nov 2022	121.83	159.7	234.34
Dec 2022	75.92	109.46	181.11
Jan 2023	109.03	139.47	177.42
Feb 2023	38.42	60.13	88.89
Mar 2023	30.07	53.5	68.66
Apr 2023	19.7	47.59	62.69
May 2023	19.67	47.16	59.92