Question 11 of 25 in Geopolitics
Started Mar 04, 2022 07:30PM UTC   •   Closing Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023?

The imposition of substantial economic sanctions (White & Case) and the halting of Nord Stream 2’s certification (New York Times) following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have put significant strain on the relationship between the EU and Russia, its largest supplier of natural gas.  

The question will be resolved using the last “Dutch TTF Gas Futures Price” on the Intercontinental Exchange. For each futures contract, the question will be resolved based on the data available on the 15th of the month prior at 13:01 GMT. For example, the forecast for April 2022 will be resolved based on the APR22 contract price at 3/15/2022 at 13:01 GMT. The forecast for May 2022 will be resolved based on the MAY22 contract price at 4/15/2022 at 13:01 GMT.  

Current Crowd Forecast
Time Period 90% chance to be above Crowd Forecast 90% chance to be below
Apr 2022 85.74 136.52 214.66
May 2022 77.29 105.06 164.46
Jun 2022 74.48 99.77 147.72
Jul 2022 62.39 95.95 140.64

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