What percentage of ASML's lithography sales will be to the United States in 2022?

Started Mar 31, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

In the face of the semi-conductor shortage, the U.S. is seeking to increase its chip manufacturing capabilities by developing domestic fabs (WSJ, Forbes, Roll Call). Photolithography is a critical component of these fabrication facilities, and ASML is the world leader in that field (Fortune, ETF).

Question will be resolved based on ASML’s 2022 full year results. The full year results for 2021 were published in January of 2022. The percentage of lithography sales by region/country can be found on the pie charts labeled “Region gross (ship to location)” on page 9 of the investor presentation, which can be downloaded directly from that page.  

Resolution Notes

ASML reported 7% sales to the U.S. in 2022.

https://www.asml.com/en/investors/financial-results/q4-2022

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 5% 7%
More than or equal to 5% but less than 10% 83%
Between 10% and 15%, inclusive 10%
More than 15% 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 62
Average for questions older than 6 months: 59
Number of Forecasts 332
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.061623
2.
-0.047753
3.
-0.036305
4.
-0.026855
5.
-0.024894

Consensus Trend

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