INFER Public

In the next edition of the Times Higher Education (THE) World University Rankings, will there be 6 or more Chinese universities with a research score of 60 or greater in computer science?

Question Ends:
Oct 26, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 20, 2022 02:15PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

In 2022, will the Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Co. list a new lithography machine as an available product on its website?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 24, 2022 06:05AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

What will be the outcome of the Israeli legislative election on 1 November 2022?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 25, 2022 04:07PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
A coalition government is formed and Yair Lapid becomes Prime Minister		Answer was incorrect
A coalition government is formed and Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister		Answer was correct
A coalition government is formed but neither Lapid nor Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister		Answer was incorrect
A coalition government is not formed		Answer was incorrect

How many total unique AI systems will Baidu and Alibaba submit for the next round of the MLPerf benchmarking suite?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 16, 2022 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2022 04:51PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 4		Answer was correct
Between 5 and 9, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 10		Answer was incorrect

Will Google score more wins than any other submitter in the next round of the MLPerf training benchmarking suite?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 16, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 04, 2022 01:26AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 05, 2022 11:39AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How many integrated circuit (IC) units will China produce in 2022?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 13, 2022 04:37PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 200 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 200 billion but less than 300 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 300 billion but less than 400 billion		Answer was correct
More than or equal to 400 billion but less than 500 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 500 billion		Answer was incorrect

What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 17, 2022 02:14PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $8.5 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $8.5 billion but less than or equal to $10 billion		Answer was correct
Between $10 billion and $11.5 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between $11.5 billion and $13 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than $13 billion		Answer was incorrect

Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
22 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 24, 2022 04:10PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 26, 2022 01:15AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

JonathanMann

Jonathan Mann

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