50th
Accuracy Rank

Tolga

Tolga Bilge
About:
Show more

-0.035

Relative Brier Score

74

Forecasts

6

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 5 16 223 74 223
Comments 0 0 13 2 13
Questions Forecasted 5 15 45 31 45
Upvotes on Comments By This User 2 2 14 6 14
 Definitions
New Prediction
Show more
New Prediction
Tolga
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
40%
Less than or equal to 49
35%
Between 50 and 99, inclusive
15%
Between 100 and 149, inclusive
5%
Between 150 and 199, inclusive
5%
More than or equal to 200
Show more
New Prediction
Show more
New Prediction
Show more
New Prediction
Show more
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction

Confirming previous forecast

Files
New Prediction

Affirming, don't see this happening by August.

Files
New Prediction

Affirming, still looks very unlikely, and not much time remaining.

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username