end of year.
0.190255
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 50 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Definitions |
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Top Forecaster - Feb 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
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Oracle - Bronze
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard 3 months in a row.
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Top Forecaster of the Month - Jan 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
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Top Forecaster of the Month - Dec 2023
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
![](https://www.infer-pub.com/rails/active_storage/representations/redirect/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaHBBMDVWQVE9PSIsImV4cCI6IjIwMjQtMDgtMDNUMTA6MTM6NDkuNDcxWiIsInB1ciI6ImJsb2JfaWQifX0=--82944b797e65add7a033b5da54a8f2dd57fa615d/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaDdCem9MWm05eWJXRjBTU0lJY0c1bkJqb0dSVlE2RW5KbGMybDZaVjkwYjE5bWFYUmJCMmx2YVc4PSIsImV4cCI6bnVsbCwicHVyIjoidmFyaWF0aW9uIn19--ece71356bf9cbbc14072e1c306fb6b0cb8ccd483/forecaster-ofthe-month.png)
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Top Forecaster of the Month - Nov 2023
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
![](https://assets.infer-pub.com/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-2%)
Yes
Files
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(+28%)
Yes
after the clarification the resolution is clear.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
updating, as the time gets closer.
Why might you be wrong?